Economic trends: wages, unemployment and monetary policy

The short-term gains in wage growth may be limited by weak productivity and a low unemployment rate, suggests George Buckley, chief UK economist at Nomura

The economic recovery we have seen across the globe since the end of the financial crisis has now lasted quite some time. It is nine years since we saw the last quarterly back-to-back decline in output (a widely-used definition of recession) in either the US or UK. In the euro area there has not been a single quarter of declining GDP for over five years.

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